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2014 Winter Nationals Predictions

The Tennis Recruiting Network's forecasting models calculate the chance of each player reaching each round, taking into account the power rating of each player prior to the tournament's start date. Select the event you want to view below, and click on the column headers to change the table's sort order. The draws and results for this tournament can be found at the USTA TennisLink website.

Related Content: Post-Tournament Analysis

Predictions After:

Finals

UPSETS	Previous Round	Totals Through Prev. Round	Current Round
Upsets by Rating	Higher Rated Player loses to Lower Rated Player
Total Matches	1	127	–
Predicted Upsets	0	29	–
Actual Upsets	0	34	–
Difference	0	-5	–
Seeded Upsets	Higher Seed loses to Lower Seed or Unseeded Player
Total Matches	1	88	–
Predicted Upsets	0	22	–
Actual Upsets	0	20	–
Difference	0	+2	–

Draw Line	Seed	Player Name	2nd Round	3rd Round	4th Round	Quarter Finals	Semi Finals	Finals	WIN
17	8	W. Genesen	✔	✔	✔	✔²	✔³	✔	✔
115		A. Ayeni	✔¹	✔	✔	✔	✔³	✔³	–
88	11	Z. Clark	✔	✔	✔	✔¹	✔¹	–	–
53	17	A. Heller	✔	✔	✔²	✔³	✔³	–	–
80	6	K. Lovett	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–
112	7	G. Ross	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–
1	1	J. Hansen	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–
33	3	E. Rutledge	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–
96	4	R. Seby	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
72	14	K. Hance	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
9	13	M. Schalet	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
31		B. Holt	✔	✔¹	✔³	–	–	–	–
100	17	R. Stalder	✔	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–
43		C. Yun	✔	✔³	✔	–	–	–	–
57	10	M. Tran	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
127		J. Rotheram	✔³	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–
25	9	A. Chamdani	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
37	17	J. Small	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
76	17	K. Mautner	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
104	16	A. Hirsch	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
84	17	C. Garnett	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
106		N. Borchenko	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–
21	17	O. Sec	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
124	17	J. Sheehy	✔²	✔	–	–	–	–	–
47		J. Turchetta	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–
52		N. Beaty	✔²	✔³	–	–	–	–	–
118		P. Ahmadi	✔	✔²	–	–	–	–	–
61	17	J. Walker	✔²	✔	–	–	–	–	–
13	17	E. Llamas	✔	✔²	–	–	–	–	–
68	17	J. Kros	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
8		Z. Brodney	✔²	✔³	–	–	–	–	–
91		G. Anderson	✔³	✔²	–	–	–	–	–
49	5	C. Klinger	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
4		A. Ambrozy	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
27		R. Smith	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
5	17	N. Brown	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
108	17	A. Keyser	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
15		C. Tan	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
45	17	A. Ross	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
41	15	D. Gealer	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
119		M. Lin	✔¹	–	–	–	–	–	–
110		S. Richey	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
40		B. Hoffmann	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
114		A. Sharma	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
29	17	J. Deautriell	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
74		R. Dickerson	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
23		P. Litsky	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
90		S. Kolachalam	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
70		C. Lawson	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
77		K. Kozlowski	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
65		L. Weber	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
56		N. Bedekar	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
82		S. Burnette	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
35		J. Tullis	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
85		J. Spaulding	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
97		Z. Bessette	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
102		M. Stone	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
12		S. Lang	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
60		M. Sullivan	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
122		Y. Jiang	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
19		M. Yun	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
93		A. Patel	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
63		N. Solarewicz	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
126		L. Ryan	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
128	2	S. Furman	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
92	17	H. Gordon	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
18		B. Volk	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
101		K. Funk	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
51		G. Broadus	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
26		D. Horneffer	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
24		C. Pei	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
123		T. Boyer	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
62		T. Schick	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
2		B. Vandixhorn	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
120	12	K. Boykin	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
86		D. Goulak	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
48		J. Jacoby	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
116	17	J. Haig	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
73		M. Lorenzini	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
44		J. Goodwin	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
103		K. Lam	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
11		W. Sharton	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
121		Z. Jennings	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
7		S. Hill	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
75		D. Esses	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
105		C. Markes	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
34		K. Kumar	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
67		T. Leto	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
117		J. Gray	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
14		W. Demulling	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
89		E. Wagner	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
20		P. Wynn	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
59		A. Sweet	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
42		M. Palmer	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
113		K. Khan	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
28		A. Cauneac	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
71		J. Levitin	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
98		J. Jemison	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
79		R. Ciamarra	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
30		C. Auteri	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
99		B. Polender	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
125		B. Born	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
78		T. Tuff	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
69		L. Carstens	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
109		J. Ruder-Hook	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
95		M. Klousia	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
83		I. Landwehr	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
38		C. Sullivan	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
46		N. Parodi	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
66		N. Niemiec	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
39		R. Chikkalingaiah	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
87		N. Sutter	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
64		A. Steryous	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
58		R. Smith	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
3		I. Castelino	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
50		I. Volk	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
111		D. Foster	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
36		J. Jhattu	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
81		M. Galvin	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
54		J. Sprinkel	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
107		R. McDermott	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
22		D. Paulsen	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
55		R. Zhang	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
32		A. Allen	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
10		N. McDaniel	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
16		M. Gordon	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
6		F. Mowrey	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
94		A. Hammitt	–	–	–	–	–	–	–

✔ denotes an expected win
✔¹ denotes an expected win over a higher seeded player
✔² denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated player
✔³ denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated and higher seeded player

The idea for this analysis was inspired by Nate Silver's March Madness Predictions at FiveThirtyEight.com.

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