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2017 USTA National Championships Predictions

The Tennis Recruiting Network's forecasting models calculate the chance of each player reaching each round, taking into account the power rating of each player prior to the tournament's start date. Select the event you want to view below, and click on the column headers to change the table's sort order. The draws and results for this tournament can be found at the USTA TennisLink website: B18-16, G18-16, B14-12, G14, G12.

Predictions After:

Finals

UPSETS	Previous Round	Totals Through Prev. Round	Current Round
Upsets by Rating	Higher Rated Player loses to Lower Rated Player
Total Matches	1	223	–
Predicted Upsets	0	51	–
Actual Upsets	1	48	–
Difference	-1	+3	–
Seeded Upsets	Higher Seed loses to Lower Seed or Unseeded Player
Total Matches	1	147	–
Predicted Upsets	1	33	–
Actual Upsets	0	23	–
Difference	+1	+10	–

Draw Line	Seed	Player Name	2nd Round	3rd Round	4th Round	5th Round	Quarter Finals	Semi Finals	Finals	WIN
256	2	P. Kypson	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔²
33	5	JJ Wolf	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔¹	✔	–
81	12	A. Ayeni	✔	✔	✔	✔²	✔³	✔³	–	–
184	29	R. Goetz	✔	✔	✔	✔³	✔³	✔³	–	–
160	6	J. McNally	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–
1	1	S. Riffice	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–
224	7	S. Korda	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–
97	8	D. Thomas	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–
144	10	V. Kirkov	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
17	9	G. Ross	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
65	4	O. Crawford	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
208	11	A. Rotsaert	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
57	30	T. Sah	✔	✔	✔	✔¹	–	–	–	–
232	27	T. Hilderbrand	✔	✔	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–
168	25	M. Beiler	✔	✔	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–
121	32	B. Johnston	✔	✔	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–
240	15	L. Greif	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
192	3	T. Bryde	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
89	22	J. Brooksby	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
113	16	H. Walker	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
73	19	R. Seggerman	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
176	13	B. Cernoch	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
25	23	M. Kiger	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
248	31	P. Barretto	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
41	28	J. Sands	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
105	26	C. Haskins	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
49	14	A. Fenty	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
216	24	G. Nanda	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
200	18	B. Duo	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
148	41	W. Peters	✔	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–
134		A. Di Giulio	✔	✔³	✔³	–	–	–	–	–
11		P. Kumar	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
152	21	A. Brown	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
140	40	A. Huang	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
5	33	S. Sculley	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
204	38	K. Zhu	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
101		A. Nefve	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
32		B. Shi	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–	–
61	63	E. Bynoe	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
212	43	P. Maloney	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
156	47	I. Thamma	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
71		Y. Solomon	✔	✔¹	–	–	–	–	–	–
77	37	M. Meier	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
132	34	J. Allen	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
85	44	S. Wei	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
164	51	C. Russell	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
109	54	R. Ciamarra	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
193		R. Baylon	✔	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
180	59	J. Speicher	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
40		A. Kotzen	✔	✔¹	–	–	–	–	–	–
21	42	B. Frye	✔	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
252	61	M. Terry	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
234		S. Forman	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–	–
242		J. Fishkin	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–	–
117	60	M. Rodriguez	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
93	46	R. Fu	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
228	50	B. Draheim	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
186		R. Chou	✔²	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
219		A. Redding	✔³	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
54		A. Dhingra	✔¹	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
14		R. Siniakowicz	✔³	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
170		G. Cacciatore	✔²	✔³	–	–	–	–	–	–
125	62	P. Huynh	✔²	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
48		A. Bailey	✔	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
29	48	J. Brumm	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
27		J. Van Emburgh	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
141		K. Hance	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
92		W. Howells	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
43		N. Perrone	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
196		M. Freeman	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
230		M. Heller	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
69	36	C. Alshon	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
136	20	R. Maciag	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
8		R. Krill	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
244	58	B. Kozlov	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
24		K. Poling	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
129		D. Baird	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
157		S. Sarkar	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
37	52	A. Pickens	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
165		B. Croyder	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
236	53	M. Sun	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
76		N. Watson	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
172	55	N. Arimilli	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
197		J. Brailovsky	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
213		A. Abbrat	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
127		D. Mizrahi	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
56		P. Gota	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
253		D. Nuzhny	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
206		H. Cassone	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
100		T. Stice	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
108		K. Perera	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
59		E. Hillis	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
83		J. Mercer	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
150		C. Shick	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
67		E. Morris	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
137		K. Huynh	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
103		N. Dufort	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
246		B. Gollin	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
173		M. Wild	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
153		P. Fletchall	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
187		J. Lui	✔³	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
221		N. Larichev	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
190		J. Zucker	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
210		A. Oscislawski	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
46		R. Benkaim	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
63		B. Winters	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
87		J. Winkler	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
120		L. Horve	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
20		J. Pulliam	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
15		A. Ilagan	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
250		L. Vandecasteele	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
217		J. Kronenberg	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
51		K. Kenyatte	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
161		N. Lilienthal	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
96		M. Dickson	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
115		C. Swanson	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
145		A. Rodriguez-Vidal	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
35		B. Stringfellow	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
238		K. Sarita	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
79		R.J. Sands	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
226		H. Maughan	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
181		L. Bellamy	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
124		F. Garner	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
4		M. Ihrig	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
112		C. Krimbill	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
9		M. Green	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
177		W. Wanner	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
201		B. Pham	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
13	39	J. Pratt	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
243		T. McCormick	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
36		C. Chakravarthi	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
78		N. Schachter	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
3		M. Militzer	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
235		S. Chari	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
188	64	F. Talcott	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
99		M. Tsolakyan	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
254		J. Ignatowich	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
220	45	P. Conklin	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
185		C. Gromley	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
80		J. Yuan	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
31		K. Mayo	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
110		N. Oberg	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
195		A. Huryn	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
104		K. Vardanyan	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
237		E. Hahn	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
30		H. Cacciatore	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
174		W. Woodall	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
60		D. Pellerito	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
166		I. Sturgill	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
64		B. Perez	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
169		A. Rogers	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
158		J. Beasley	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
52		J. Gandolfo	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
53	57	M. Ferreira	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
138		O. Vasser	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
62		N. Ricklis	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
225		J. Mukherjee	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
116		A. Mora	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
38		A. Rodriguez	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
209		D. Li	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
251		D. Nava	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
126		S. Fischer	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
130		C. Bernstine	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
155		K. Smith	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
146		J. Xu	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
245		C. Erwin	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
198		H. Cacciatore	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
214		S. Gould	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
133		J. Kast	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
229		C. Nakayama	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
194		M. Kurzban	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
68		B. Pereira	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
86		J. Kelly	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
178		A. Sraberg	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
6		G. Spencer	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
139		V. Shanker	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
179		D. Gale	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
118		S. Kavarana	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
44		K. Dobbs	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
72		J. Scotty	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
111		C. Sato	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
222		C. Thompson	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
227		M. Benson	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
7		D. Krulig	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
12		J. Edelchik	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
91		R. Grovas	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
28		I. Yoshida	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
107		J. Randall	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
147		J. Redelijk	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
233		E. Prost	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
182		E. Hadigian	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
119		V. Joshi	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
95		C. Grande	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
128		J. Lee	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
55		R. Cory	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
39		S. Block	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
123		A. Gibbons	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
218		W. Turchetta	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
171		D. Kovacevic	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
241		A. Wesbrooks	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
149		E. Felcher	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
131		C. Groetsch	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
189		W. Gleason	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
47		C. Gates	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
154		W. Hamilton	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
19		C. Sharton	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
23		J. Mascagni	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
142		B. Jacobson	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
84		D. Baturyn	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
102		D. Thompson	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
163		N. Marino	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
70		J. Walsh	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
94		M. Coleman	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
16		H. Foulkes	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
205		R. Roegner	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
203		J. Keitelman	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
88		D. Stratakos	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
211		J. Moldenhauer	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
202		J. Azuma	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
162		J. Akagi-Okuma	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
45		A. Fucci	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
75		A. Exsted	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
22		J. Bloss	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
249		F. Torres	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
58		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
50		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
239		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
10		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
18		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
2		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
255		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
34		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
42		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
247		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
26		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
207		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
159		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
151		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
135		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
143		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
183		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
191		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
175		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
167		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
199		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
215		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
82		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
90		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
231		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
66		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
74		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
114		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
122		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
106		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
98		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
223		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–

✔ denotes an expected win
✔¹ denotes an expected win over a higher seeded player
✔² denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated player
✔³ denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated and higher seeded player

The idea for this analysis was inspired by Nate Silver's March Madness Predictions at FiveThirtyEight.com.

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